| Conclusion
What conclusion can be drawn from all these changes?
There is a profound change going on now in Turkey. The majority
of the population want Turkey to be a member of the EU.
Turkey's possible membership is a very difficult decision
for the EU to make. If Turkey's membership negotiations will
not start on the 17.12.2004, or they will not progress in
the normal way, the EU will have on its borders a very difficult
neighbour - a big, poor and unstable country. If the EU will
not start negotiations with Turkey, the political and economic
crisis in Turkey will deepen.
If the EU starts membership negotiations, it promotes positive
development in Turkey and strengthens the position of the
civil, compared to the military, sector; for example, it strengthens
the position of the government against the National Security
Council.
If Turkey will be a member in the EU without the Kurdish question
being solved, the situation of the Kurds will be problem for
the EU. There have been examples of countries joining the
EU with serious conflicts with their own minorities, for example
Spain and the Basques, United Kingdom and Northern Ireland.
But the case of the Kurds in Turkey is different. To solve
the Kurdish problem, a radical change is a necessity in Turkey’s
constitution and in the whole way of thinking in Turkey.
All of modern Turkey is based on the ideas of Mustafa Kemal
Atatürk and his ideology of one country, one nation,
one language and one culture. If the rights of Kurds as a
nation will be accepted, Turkey cannot be a republic of "one
nation and one culture". When this is compared to Spain
and the United Kingdom, it is clear that solving the problems
with their own minorities does not need so radical a change
to their administration as in Turkey.
It is self-evident that when a country is based on such ideas
which are untenable today, it is only a question of how long
it can last. The national awakening process of Kurds started
in Turkey during the 1980s and there are no signs that it
would subside. Various Kurdish organisations have made
it clear that they do accept the EU's opinion that the rights
of Kurds are only the rights of individual people. Kurds want
themselves to be treated like a nation, not like a group of
individuals. When it is a question of a big group (30 million
people), it is unlikely that they would give up and change
their minds on such an important issue after many positive
developments in other areas.
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